Paul Ryan is not exactly the fiscal Sarah Palin. He’s a smart guy. But like Palin, a pick of Paul Ryan would excite the conservative base of the Republican Party for his muscular fiscal ideology and, in being nominated, tie “The Ryan Plan,” Paul Ryan’s plan for reducing the budget directly to the Romney campaign.

That’s the good news…and the bad news.

The Ryan Plan polls like “Obamacare.” Polls for both show that even conservatives start changing their mind about them when you break them down by what they actually do. Polls consistently show when “Obamacare is presented in its components, people tend to support it. When you break down The Ryan Plan (Cut Medicare. Create capped spending vouchers. Drastically cut domestic programs. Keep military spending and tax cuts for the most well off), you turn off all but those immune to the consequences of those programs. My guess is that this would further affect a tenuous base of Mitt Romney’s, lower working class white males. People who like Romney, but at the same time, suspicious his plans could actually further hurt their already diminished way of life.

If outcry did rise up about The Ryan Plan or start to pull down the Romney campaign, that would put Romney in the position of ticking off conservatives by running away from his own ideologically loved rock star Vice President candidate’s proposal or stand by cuts that would alarm all but the most ardent budget cutter. And that’s not many considering Americans have repeatedly shown that a government program that needs to be cut is one they believe they are not the beneficiary off. And there aren’t many of those.

Just for the record. I’m putting my money of Rob Portman.  The Romney campaign plays it safe. Why stop now.